IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Eastern Kentucky
Ohio Valley
2019-20

Overall
Predictive Rating	-6.3	#274
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	90.2	#2
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-1.5	#224

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-4.8	#308

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	2.1%	2.9%	1.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	14.8	14.6	15.1

.500 or above	26.3%	37.0%	14.6%
.500 or above in Conference	44.0%	52.3%	35.0%
Conference Champion	2.1%	2.8%	1.2%
Last Place in Conference	10.6%	7.4%	14.1%

First Four	0.3%	0.3%	0.3%
First Round	1.9%	2.7%	1.0%
Second Round	0.1%	0.2%	0.1%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Chattanooga (Home) - 52.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 2	0 - 2
Quad 1b	0 - 1	0 - 3
Quad 2	0 - 2	0 - 5
Quad 3	2 - 6	2 - 11
Quad 4	10 - 7	12 - 18

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 05, 2019	235	Chattanooga	W	83-82	52%
Nov 08, 2019	2	@ Kentucky	L	66-95	0.4%
Nov 15, 2019	76	Western Kentucky	L	79-89	18%
Nov 22, 2019	185	Florida International	L	97-101	34%
Nov 23, 2019	311	Cleveland St.	W	87-84	59%
Dec 03, 2019	340	@ South Carolina Upstate	W	86-83	61%
Dec 08, 2019	133	@ Northern Kentucky	L	79-90	17%
Dec 14, 2019	6	@ Louisville	L	69-97	1%
Dec 19, 2019	188	@ Marshall	L	91-98	26%
Dec 21, 2019	194	Charleston Southern	L	84-85	46%
Dec 28, 2019	203	@ East Carolina	L	81-88	28%
Jan 02, 2020	310	Tennessee Tech	W	85-79	68%
Jan 04, 2020	216	Jacksonville St.	L	81-82	50%
Jan 09, 2020	255	Eastern Illinois	W	84-82	56%
Jan 11, 2020	324	SIU Edwardsville	W	90-83	72%
Jan 16, 2020	80	@ Belmont	L	82-98	9%
Jan 18, 2020	272	@ Tennessee St.	L	84-87	39%
Jan 23, 2020	216	@ Jacksonville St.	L	78-84	30%
Jan 25, 2020	310	@ Tennessee Tech	L	81-82	49%
Jan 30, 2020	258	Tennessee Martin	W	88-86	57%
Feb 01, 2020	294	Southeast Missouri St.	W	87-83	64%
Feb 06, 2020	255	@ Eastern Illinois	L	81-85	36%
Feb 08, 2020	324	@ SIU Edwardsville	W	87-86	53%
Feb 13, 2020	264	@ Morehead St.	L	82-86	39%
Feb 15, 2020	211	@ Austin Peay	L	84-90	30%
Feb 20, 2020	272	Tennessee St.	W	87-84	59%
Feb 22, 2020	80	Belmont	L	85-95	20%
Feb 27, 2020	119	@ Murray St.	L	79-92	15%
Feb 29, 2020	264	Morehead St.	W	85-83	58%
Projected Record						11 - 18	8 - 10

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Ohio Valley Finish

	0-18	1-17	2-16	3-15	4-14	5-13	6-12	7-11	8-10	9-9	10-8	11-7	12-6	13-5	14-4	15-3	16-2	17-1	18-0		Total
1st													0.1	0.3	0.5	0.7	0.4	0.1	0.0		2.1	1st
2nd											0.0	0.3	1.1	1.7	1.6	0.6	0.1				5.5	2nd
3rd										0.0	0.4	2.3	3.2	1.6	0.5	0.1					8.1	3rd
4th									0.0	0.7	2.9	3.6	1.8	0.3	0.0						9.3	4th
5th								0.0	0.6	3.2	4.4	1.8	0.2	0.0							10.2	5th
6th							0.0	0.4	3.2	4.8	2.0	0.1	0.0								10.5	6th
7th						0.0	0.3	2.8	5.1	2.1	0.3										10.4	7th
8th					0.0	0.2	2.3	5.1	2.6	0.2	0.0										10.3	8th
9th				0.0	0.2	1.9	4.7	2.6	0.4	0.0											9.8	9th
10th			0.0	0.2	1.9	4.0	2.5	0.4	0.0												9.0	10th
11th		0.0	0.5	2.0	3.3	2.3	0.5	0.0													8.5	11th
12th	0.2	0.8	1.8	1.9	1.2	0.2	0.0														6.2	12th

Total	0.2	0.9	2.2	4.2	6.6	8.6	10.2	11.3	11.9	11.0	10.1	8.1	6.4	3.8	2.6	1.4	0.5	0.1	0.0			Total

Ohio Valley Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
18-0	100.0%	0.0		0.0
17-1	100.0%	0.1		0.1	0.0
16-2	80.3%	0.4		0.3	0.1
15-3	51.5%	0.7		0.4	0.3	0.1	0.0
14-4	18.0%	0.5		0.2	0.2	0.1	0.0
13-5	6.8%	0.3		0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0
12-6	0.9%	0.1		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
11-7	0.0%
10-8	0.0%
9-9	0.0%

Total	2.1%	2.1		1.0	0.7	0.3	0.1	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
18-0	0.0%		64.0%	64.0%		12.6													0.0	0.0	0.0			0.0
17-1	0.1%		38.1%	38.1%		12.7												0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0		0.1
16-2	0.5%		39.1%	39.1%		13.7													0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0		0.3
15-3	1.4%		23.1%	23.1%		14.0												0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0	1.1
14-4	2.6%		16.3%	16.3%		14.7													0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.1	2.2
13-5	3.8%		9.4%	9.4%		15.0														0.0	0.1	0.2	0.1	3.5
12-6	6.4%		4.6%	4.6%		15.2														0.0	0.0	0.2	0.1	6.1
11-7	8.1%		2.5%	2.5%		15.5														0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	7.9
10-8	10.1%		1.1%	1.1%		15.5															0.0	0.0	0.1	10.0
9-9	11.0%		0.6%	0.6%		16.0																0.0	0.1	10.9
8-10	11.9%		0.3%	0.3%		16.0																0.0	0.0	11.8
7-11	11.3%		0.1%	0.1%		16.0																	0.0	11.3
6-12	10.2%																							10.2
5-13	8.6%																							8.6
4-14	6.6%																							6.6
3-15	4.2%																							4.2
2-16	2.2%																							2.2
1-17	0.9%																							0.9
0-18	0.2%																							0.2

Total	100%		2.1%	2.1%	0.0%	14.8												0.0	0.0	0.2	0.5	0.8	0.6	97.9		0.0%

Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

	Chance	Tourney Bid	Avg Seed	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Lose Out	0.1%